Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 2.033716 2.441881 2.881680 3.387603 3.950352 4.554071 5.247654
2025-02-02 1.448716 1.995407 2.635928 3.427688 4.366235 5.430227 6.714440
2025-02-09 0.991384 1.579622 2.329908 3.322379 4.567030 6.044955 7.900842
2025-02-16 0.680768 1.265555 2.078144 3.223663 4.733889 6.598970 9.017984
2025-02-23 0.492070 1.066752 1.932868 3.224720 5.001152 7.265936 10.278992
2025-03-02 0.340406 0.877870 1.761515 3.156264 5.153147 7.775086 11.344179
2025-03-09 0.270220 0.805689 1.748966 3.302232 5.591510 8.659876 12.902702
2025-03-16 0.193806 0.693656 1.649768 3.301267 5.813483 9.255175 14.092873
2025-03-23 0.159927 0.659622 1.675164 3.488990 6.307894 10.226270 15.793363
2025-03-30 0.125563 0.610158 1.662857 3.610395 6.704314 11.068399 17.335269
2025-04-06 0.092699 0.548214 1.614996 3.664770 6.996857 11.768221 18.694696
2025-04-13 0.060981 0.468475 1.515559 3.618573 7.127538 12.237121 19.743529
2025-04-20 0.043455 0.425460 1.487750 3.698968 7.464716 13.019491 21.254318
2025-04-27 0.029851 0.385104 1.457786 3.771343 7.790178 13.791723 22.765424
2025-05-04 0.015284 0.315845 1.343077 3.673131 7.832518 14.148306 23.700706
2025-05-11 0.006633 0.256497 1.235441 3.574162 7.863650 14.483478 24.606578
2025-05-18 0.002947 0.221584 1.183463 3.578533 8.064358 15.073013 25.879745
2025-05-25 0.000741 0.180605 1.099671 3.506611 8.127755 15.452055 26.853558
2025-06-01 0.000339 0.173915 1.123091 3.664021 8.593990 16.454835 28.740116
2025-06-08 0.000027 0.148939 1.076571 3.663356 8.779531 17.026221 30.006391
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.148715 1.119310 3.864810 9.330798 18.173915 32.126346
2025-06-22 NaN 0.140774 1.130746 3.994944 9.756247 19.130690 33.976536
2025-06-29 NaN 0.126363 1.112054 4.053202 10.051761 19.887103 35.539883